Reducing Two Stressors

Can we mitigate two stressors (depressed economic circumstances and climate change) by leveraging solutions in one towards the other?

• Many U.S. communities are economically distressed, generating terrible despair, addiction and suicide epidemics
  
• The planet is stressed by climate change and fast action to transition to 100% green energy is crucial.

 
Let's consider the following assumptions:

1. Climate change is a clear and present danger, as well as to future generations
2. Climate change, if not mitigated with great urgency, may become irreversible: the window for action is closing
3. Energy generation conversion from fossil fuels to renewables is essential to combat climate change
4. The real costs of oil, coal, and natural gas have not changed much in more than a century. Renewable energy sources such as solar photovoltaics (PV) and wind have experienced rapid, persistent cost declines. PV module costs have dropped on average 10%/year since 1990, while deployment has increased by 26%/year. [Science 12 April 2019, page 133]. Advances in PV (perovskites, tandem) continue to increase energy collection efficiency
5. The federal government and many states offer tax incentives to deploy green technologies
6. More than 50 million Americans live in economically distressed communities (1/5 of Zip codes reviewed in the EIG study - see below.) In these, 25% of adults lack a high school diploma, 55% of them are not working. (Click the images to visit citylab.com and eig.com)

Here are  some of the ​Energy Watch Group key findings:

1. Transition to 100% renewable energy requires comprehensive electrification in all energy sectors. 69% solar; 18% wind; 6% bio; 3% hydro; 2% geothermal
2. By 2050, 96% decentralized local and regional generation will be from solar and wind
3. Transition will reduce greenhouse gas emissions from 30 GtCO2-eq in 2015 to zero by 2050

 
The estimated global spending needed by 2050 on renewable sources and electrification is $110 trillion (2% of global GDP during that period) of which $95 trillion is already committed. 100% renewable will employ 35 million worldwide (from 9.8 million today) [Source: Irena]
 
 
The questions we need to address:

1. Can we select economically-effective solar energy collection/storage/distribution technologies?
2. Can we identify opportunities and develop profitable models to employ some people in a depressed community to build/run/maintain a pilot PV installation(s)?
3. Can we model the dissemination of that effort by members of the initial pilot, dispatched to teach/evangelize and form new teams in other, like communities?
4. Can we identify initial funding sources?
5. Can we neutralize resistance and develop/leverage political mobilization and support?
6. Can we scale this to influence the crossing of a critical threshold in a post-carbon transition—viewed as a non-linear complex adaptive system? Can we create a new basin of attraction?

 
A latent majority (61% in the U.S. [ABC News/Stanford 2018]) supports climate change mitigation, but the size of the committed minority (e.g. Greta Thunberg school strikes, Green New Deal proponents) needs to cross a critical threshold to have an marked effect on policy makers. Are socioeconomically depressed areas the right targets to reach a tipping point? Do we have access to economically feasible technologies? How do we amplify success and develop a band-wagon effect with positive feedback?
 
Answers to these questions require an integrated, multidisciplinary approach: engineering for technology selections and complex systems analysis, from design experts for packaging, logos, and instruction manuals, business/finance for financial modeling, social/political sciences for community approach programming, and education specialists for education modeling.

A fascinating and worthwhile project.